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In defence of newspapers and serendipity
Valuation is always difficult, but it seems hard to argue that Yahoo's intrinsic value as an independent entity could be so far off from the valuation at MSFT's revised $33/sh final offer, especially when Yahoo had been trading in the low $20s/sh before the bid.
standalone company needs their head examined. Yahoo started off on the
road to fiduciary duty and crossed over into la-la land.
All you need to really ask yourself is these two questions:
1. What are the chances that Jerry Y. is smarter than you or me?
(100%)
2. What are the chances that Jerry Y.'s ego is bigger than Steve B's?
(0%)
You undervalue the value of scale, which is understandable with a near-term view/ But Yahoo still has scale in spades. It's like thinking NFL teams are overvalaued. All sports franchises will only get *more* valuable because soon, sports will be the only thing people watch live (and are forced somewhat to actually watch the commercials) on TV.
Things with scale come with a premium. And should. This doesn't mean Yahoo won't go down to $23 at the open on Monday! But I'm pretty sure unless they screw things up so badly that scale erodes, over the long-term, Jerry made the right call.
I guess the more fun question is who gets fired first? Jerry or Steve?
uber-smart Jerry Yang haven't been able to generate any value from all
that scale? Yahoo has had not just months but years and has little or
nothing to show for it in terms of added value. Time to let someone
else try.
move for Microsoft to make at this point, if only to get its media and
advertising assets. But I think Ballmer could definitely have handled
things better. Negotiating with him must be like negotiating with a
pit bull.
That said, yes Yang did pass up a lucrative offer for its shareholders, and he's definitely going to see legal action from many shareholders. But Yang can also use this as a turning point for the company and can maybe spin this in a way that makes him look like a hero - David and Goliath sort of thing - and rally his troops. Unfortunately, I'm sure there are more than a few employees with equity in the company that now looks at Yang as the guy who screwed them.
Either way, I think Yahoo is better of as a standalone company - it is innovative, a supporter of open Web standards, and has lucrative International Internet assets. The last thing I would want to see is Microsoft acquiring them and then beginning the process of moving away from PHP and MySQL to ASP and SQL server. *shutters*