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I read Andrew's post. That guy is wacky to say the least. His doomsaday predictions lead me to believe that he is the David Koresh of the new web.
I always appreciate new insights, vantage points, and perspectives, but this guy is beyond me. I think he fails to see an important angle. If these 'mobs' or 'masses' can be focused in a specific direction with some level of co-ordination and guidance from a select group of educators and tech elite, social media and the power of the mob can work and succeed.
I think Andy needs to read up about the 'network effect'...
Why has Wikipedia been so successful? Why is it so accurate? The dynamic nature of wikis and real-time collaboration enable any site or live document to move toward 100% accuracy levels. Though this level will never be reached, the site will benefit greatly with every additional user/contributor. Essentially, the network becomes more and more valuable.
Did I mention 'crowdsourcing'?
Andy is living in his own little anti-web 2.0 echo-chamber and needs to take a walk outside... inhale some fresh air... and open his eyes to the new world.
Cheers,
Aidan
The Crowd (in unison): Yes! We're all individuals!
Brian: You're all different!
The Crowd (in unison): Yes, we ARE all different!
Man in Crowd: I'm not...
Surely the answer is that every individual comes from the mass. It's called evolution - the ultimate crowdsourcing tool. "Mediocrity is the only possible result of a wide sampling of opinion or input. The only idea that can survive such a mechanism is one consistent with the lowest common denominator. The mob works to ensure that all other results are weeded out." No - it creates competition, which allows quality to rise to the top.
The probs with "social web" are:
- Tagging is useless if it's from a single source. It only starts to become a relevant way of adding semantic information to documents if crowds can tag a document (this is a key point that some people have missed when they add tagging support to their apps).
- User voting is meaningless if people can see how other users have voted before them. More info on the game theory behind it: http://www.shmula.com/197/digg-as-a-game
I hardly think that sites such as Digg offer the first clue to the potential benefits (and individual opportunity) of crowdsourcing. Global 'open calls' which generate hundreds or thousands of ideas and contributions from people whose input would otherwise never be tapped, with the cream rising to the top, is not the creation of a mob, for heaven's sake. Whoever taps into methods to fully enable millions of individuals.will be discovering an aggregation of value and power where the sum is greater than the parts. The point here is in the 'aggregation of individuals' concept ...not the same thing as massing a lot of sheep into a single entity.
Vera
It's also really easy to attack him for pushing the discredited "great man" hypothesis -- that there are individuals out there who create works of genius in isolation -- ignoring the fact that these works are the culmination of countless conversations, arguments, and myriad other social interactions with the minds of others that the so-called "geniuses" had.
Once you understand the true pedigree of brilliant ideas, "Web 2.0" does nothing if not enhance the probability of instances of brilliance.